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The resumption of indirect US-Iran negotiations in 2026, mediated by Qatar, Pakistan, and Oman, represents a critical test case for contemporary conflict resolution in the Arabian Gulf. While existing studies have extensively examined US-Iran hostility through the lenses of nuclear proliferation, sanctions regimes, and military deterrence, the mediating role of small-state actors, particularly Qatar, remains theoretically underdeveloped. This paper addresses this gap by constructing an analytical framework for understanding Qatar’s mediation strategy in the 2026 shuttle diplomacy efforts, with a specific focus on the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and broader de-escalation. Drawing upon mediation theory, neoclassical realism, and hedging literature, the proposed framework conceptualizes Qatari mediation along three analytical dimensions: (1) structural enablers: Qatar’s strategic geography, financial resources, and institutionalized relationships with both Washington and Tehran; (2) strategic motivations: Doha’s pursuit of regional stability, protection of its maritime economic interests, and preservation of its security guarantee from the US while maintaining ties with Iran; and (3) tactical modalities: the indirect, rotating mediation structure involving multiple state intermediaries, draft proposal exchanges, and confidence-building measures. Applying this framework to the 2026 negotiation process reveals two primary findings. First, Qatar’s effectiveness as a mediator hinges on its perceived neutrality and its unique access to both parties’ red lines: the US demand for comprehensive nuclear constraints and Iran’s insistence on sanctions relief and security recognition. Second, the indirect shuttle format, while slower than direct talks, enables both sides to explore compromise without domestic political backlash, transforming the Strait of Hormuz from a flashpoint into a bargaining chip. The paper concludes that Qatar’s mediation, while promising, faces structural limitations inherent to asymmetrical power relations. Ultimately, this framework offers scholars a replicable model for analyzing small-state mediation in great-power conflicts and provides policymakers with insights into the conditions that facilitate or obstruct Gulf diplomacy

The emergence of defense diplomacy is closely tied to the post-Cold War shift in the understanding of international security and related policies. This shift provided a broader perspective on the roles of armed forces, extending beyond their traditional defensive or deterrent functions. In this context, defense diplomacy has been recognized as an effective tool for crisis prevention, enhancing state influence, maintaining regional balance, and strengthening international relations. Over the past two decades, Qatar and Türkiye have cultivated deep and friendly relations, concluding numerous military agreements. These ties were significantly intensified following the signing of a pivotal defense agreement on December 19, 2014, which established a Supreme Strategic Committee. This committee convenes annually to deepen bilateral cooperation. The agreement established a legal framework for enhancing collaboration in areas such as joint defense, military training, and the development of military industries. This research argues that defense cooperation forms the backbone of relations between the two countries, fostering interdependence and strengthening ties across various fields. In 2019, Qatar and Türkiye agreed to further bolster their bilateral relations, signing several agreements in trade, industry, and technology, with a continued strong emphasis on military and defense cooperation. The research concludes that the defense sector is a cornerstone of the growing strategic partnership between Qatar and Türkiye.

This article aims to place the issue of economic benefits obtained by Russia by military intervention in Syria in the larger perspective of its role as a global player shaping Middle East affairs. The essay aims to answer the following question: How much have Russia's economic interests been impacted by its military involvement in Syria? Russian objectives in Syria extend beyond its geostrategic location to encompass national interests in various strategic areas, particularly maintaining its economic power and bolstering its worldwide influence in Middle Eastern politics. The article will explore the additional advantages that contributed to the expansion of Russian commercial ties in the region, beyond Syria's geostrategic location. This article assumes that Russia is steadily investing in building its influence and creating geo-economic dynamics to boost its economic national interests. The study examines how Russia has been translating its military participation into economic benefits across several sectors, including arms transactions, oil businesses, economic networking, trade facilitation, and resilience. The paper will rely on signed contracts, official papers, reports, menus, speeches, press releases, declaratory statements, and reports on official visits as primary data. This article focuses on the political economy of Russian military involvement in the Syrian crisis to provide detailed insights.