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The Impact of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 on the US Government Debt

Min Xu · Suk Kim · Jeanne David

International Journal of Finance & Banking Studies · 2019 · Vol. 7 / Issue 4 · 01-09

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Overview

Abstract

There have been three major tax cuts in the modern US history: 1) the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017; 2) the Economic Growth and Tax Relief Reconciliation Act of 2001; and 3) the Economic Recovery Act of 1981. Each of the first two major tax cuts had increased the federal debt. Just about everybody agrees that US federal debt is on an unsustainable path. Can we afford another major tax cut without trigging a major economic disaster such as the Great Recession of 2007-2009? This article discusses an overview of this new law, the impact of the first two major tax cuts on the federal debt, the impact of the Tax Cuts and Job Acts on the US government debt, and its consequences.

Keywords: {'name': 'tax cut, government debt, budget deficit'}

Authors & affiliations

Min Xu
Affiliation not supplied

Suk Kim
Affiliation not supplied

Jeanne David
Affiliation not supplied

Deposited references

Supplied references, not a list of publications citing this article.

Matthew Frankel, The Motley Fool (December 22, 2017). “How the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act will impact the average American,” USA Today, Retrieved from https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/taxes/2017/12/22/how-the-tax-cuts-and-jobs-act-will-impact-the-average-american/108822332/

The Council of Academic Advisors (February 18, 2018), “Chapter 1 Taxes and Economic Growth,” Economic Report of the President, p. 32.

“Preliminary Details and Analysis of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act,” Tax Foundation, December 18, 2017, Retrieved from: https://taxfoundation.org/final-tax-cuts-and-jobs-act-details-analysis/

Saleha Mohsin and Randy Wood (April 30, 2018), "Mnuchin Sees Solid Treasuries Demand After Record U.S. Borrowing," Bloomberg, Retrieved from: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-04-30/treasury-s-488-billion-in-borrowing-sets-a-first-quarter-record

and Randy Woods (April 30, 2018), "The U.S. just borrowed $488 billion, a record high for the first quarter," Wyoming Business Report, Retrieved from: http://www.wyomingbusinessreport.com/newsletter_pm/the-u-s-just-borrowed-billion-a-record-high-for/article_fc071c14-4cb3-11e8-b527-e3cdaf992b2e.html

Niv Ells (October 5, 2018), “Deficit soars to $782 billion in 2018,” The Hill, Retrieved from: https://thehill.com/policy/finance/410177-deficit-soars-to-782-billion-in-2018.

Robert Schroder (February 13, 2018), “The U.S. is now over $20 trillion in debt — here’s how it got there,” Market Watch, Retrieved from: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-how-the-us-got-to-20-trillion-in-debt-2017-03-30

“Government - March 2018", Retrieved from: www.treasurydirect.gov

Anis Chowdhury and Iyanatul Islam (November 9, 2010), “Is there an optimal debt-to-GDP ratio?”, Retrieved from: https://voxeu.org/debates/commentaries/there-optimal-debt-gdp-ratio

See Terry M. Neal (February 3, 2003), “Bush Releases Proposed $2.23 Trillion Budget,” Retrieved from: http://www.washingtonpost.com; and The Council of Economic Advisors, The Economic Report of the President to Congress, Washington D.C., U.S. Government Printing Office, February 2007.

The Council of economic Advisors, Economic Report of the Congress (Washington: The United States Government Printing Office), 1985-1989.

DOI: 10.3172/NKR.4.1.56

"CBO Budget and Economic Outlook 2009–2019". CBO (November 21, 2016). Retrieved from: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bush_tax_cuts.

Daniel Patrick Moynihan (May 25, 2017), “Iraq and Afghanistan: The US$6 trillion bill for America’s longest war is unpaid,” The Conversation, Retrieved from: https://theconversation.com/iraq-and-afghanistan-the-us-6-trillion-bill-for-americas-longest-war-is-unpaid-78241

“The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2018 to 2028". April 9, 2018. Retrieved June 23, 2018.

Congress of the United States, Congressional Budget Office, The 2018 Long-term Budget Outlook, June 2018, file:///C:/Users/Suk%20Kim/Desktop/important%20CBO%20deficit.pdf, retrieved on September 30, 2018.

William E. Hudson (2014), “A Citizen’s Guide to Deficits and Debt,” Routledge: Taylor & Francis Group, New York and London, pp. 18-20; Jack Mintz, “Global Implications of U.S. Tax Reform,” a paper presented at the Munich Seminar, CESifo, on January 24, 2018; and Congress of the United States, Congressional Budget Office, The 2018, Long-term Budget Outlook, June 2018, file:///C:/Users/Suk%20Kim/Desktop/important%20CBO%20deficit.pdf, retrieved on September 30, 2018.

Chris Kuehl, “Tax Cuts and Job Act of 2017,” Business and Credit, May 2018, file:///C:/Users/Suk%20Kim/AppData/Local/Temp/Temp1_Tax_Cuts_and_Jobs_Act_of_2017_Articles.zip/Kuehl%20Tax_Cuts_and_Jobs_Act_of_2017.pdf