Effects of financial statement and macroeconomic factors on risk measures of banks in India
Gaurango Banerjee · Abhimanyu Gupta · Abhiman Das
International Journal of Finance & Banking Studies · 2022 · Vol. 11 / Issue 3 · 42-55
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Abstract
This paper aims to analyse the effects of financial statement indicators and off-balance sheet items affecting risk measures among Indian banks employing both panel data regression and a non-parametric decision tree approach. We explore the effects of bank size, leverage, exposure to contingent liabilities including off-balance sheet derivatives usage and macroeconomic factors on risk measures for banks. In this paper, it is also aimed to examine the effects of the major financial liberalization policy period in the domestic market in India that started in the mid-1990s and ended around 2004 as well as impacts of the 2008 global financial crisis on the risk measures of banks operating in India. As risk measures, we present a comparative analysis of liquidity, solvency, and interest rate risk measures of Indian banks across public (government) and private ownership categories. Main findings from our study demonstrate (i) significant impact of capital adequacy and the bank size on all the risk measures, (ii) contingent liabilities (including derivatives usage) at banks is observed to significantly impact the asset management measure of liquidity risk and the solvency risk of banks, (iii) GDP growth is observed to impact the asset management and liability management measure of liquidity risk, (iv) the global financial crisis is found to have a significant impact on the liquidity risk measures and interest rate risk, but a weak effect on solvency risk of Indian banks, (v) bank ownership category (government owned versus private sector banks) is observed to have a significant impact on all the risk measures, and finally (vi) financial liberalization reforms had a highly significant effect on the liquidity risk at banks.
Keywords: {'name': 'Liquidity Risk'}, {'name': 'Solvency Risk'}, {'name': 'Interest Rate Risk'}, {'name': 'Public and Private sector banks'}, {'name': 'Panel data regression'}, {'name': 'Decision Tree analysis'}
Authors & affiliations
Gaurango Banerjee
Affiliation not supplied
Abhimanyu Gupta
Affiliation not supplied
Abhiman Das
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