Bibliometric Co-Citation Analysis of Bankruptcy Prediction in Financial Institutions

Abstract

This article maps the knowledge structure and evolution of bankruptcy/default prediction research in financial institutions using a bibliometric co-citation approach, which identifies works that are often cited together due to the proximity of their theories, methods, or themes. Bibliographic data were collected from the Web of Science (WoS) for the period 1970-2025, then extracted in a complete bibliographic format and prepared for network analysis. The co-citation procedure is carried out by extracting the reference list, normalizing and unifying citation variations, and preparing a co-citation matrix, which is then visualized and classified using VOSviewer with minimum threshold parameters and normalized association strength. The results of the document ranking based on the number of citations and Total Link Strength (TLS) show the development trajectory of the field from the ratio and Z-Score approach to the logit probabilistic model, the market foundation based on the structural theory of credit risk, the governance perspective supported by agency theory, the dynamic panel methodology/GMM for longitudinal data, to computational waves (neural networks and machine learning) to capture nonlinear patterns of credit scoring. The co-citation map uncovers four main clusters: econometrics & banking risk, structural theory, ratios, and computational, with Merton and Altman acting as the cross-cluster binding nodes. These findings support the design of a more comprehensive early warning system (EWS) by integrating ratio signals, market indicators, governance/agency factors, and ML models to improve accuracy and adaptation.    

Authors & affiliations

Tri, Gunarsih
Affiliation not supplied

Mardhiyyah, Rodhiyah
Affiliation not supplied

Sayekti, Fran
Affiliation not supplied

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